美欧制裁对俄罗斯经济与中俄经贸关系的影响

The Influence of US and European Sanctions on Russian Economy and Sino-Russian Economic and Trade Relations

俄乌冲突发生在当今世界正经历百年未有之大变局、国际环境日趋复杂、不稳定性与不确定性明显增加之际,成为世界政治与经济格局由渐变转向突变的重要变量,对世界经济与政治格局的影响极其深远,世界秩序将重构。美欧对俄实施的经济制裁主要集中在金融、科技能源等领域,今后俄经济将进入十分困难的滞胀期,对中俄贸易产生影响。中国不是俄乌冲突的参与者,中俄之间应保持正常的经贸领域合作。避免美欧特别是美国对中国实施二级或次制裁的风险。另外,面对俄乌冲突,中国对中俄关系应采取长期来一贯遵循的“不结盟,不对抗,不针对第三国”的原则。

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine occurred at a time when the world is undergoing profound changes not seen in a century,and when the international environment is becoming increasingly complex with significantly increasing instability and uncertainty.Russo-Ukrainian War has become an important variable in the global political and economic pattern from gradual changes to abrupt changes,and will have a far-reaching influence on the global economic and political pattern,because the world order will be restructured due to it.The economic sanctions imposed by the US and Europe on Russia will make Russian economy enter a very difficult stagflation period in the future,and will have an impact on Sino-Russian trade.China is not a participant in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine;therefore,China should maintain normal economic and trade cooperation with Russia,and should avoid the risk of secondary or following sanctions by the US and Europe.In addition,in face of the Russia-Ukraine conflict,China should adopt the long-standing principle of“non-alignment,non-confrontation and non-targeting of a third country”in its relations with Russia.