天然气负荷预测研究综述

A Review of Natural Gas Load Forecasting

精确的负荷预测结果随着天然气消费量的快速增加而日益重要,天然气行业正面临着前所未有机遇和挑战。在天然气行业中,由于各种预测方法的特点不同,将各种传统、人工智能算法应用于负荷预测时,需要对不同方法在负荷预测中的适用程度和优缺点进行分析。对国内外天然气负荷预测的研究现状进行论述,并分析了不同方法的特点和优缺点,对天然气行业负荷预测方法的选择具有一定的参考意义。最后,对未来天然气行业的负荷预测进行了展望。

With the rapid growth of natural gas consumption, accurate load forecasting results are becoming more and more important,and the natural gas industry is facing unprecedented opportunities and challenges. In natural gas industry, due to the different characteristics of various forecasting methods in natural gas industry, when various traditional AI algorithms are used in practice of load forecasting due to their different characteristics for forecasting methods, it is essential to make an analysis for different methods between applicability of load forecasting and its merits and demerits. In this paper, research status of natural gas’ s load forecasting at domestic and overseas was discussed. The characteristics, advantages and disadvantages of different methods were analyzed, which had certain reference significance for the selection of load forecasting methods in natural gas industry. Finally, the future load forecast of natural gas industry was prospected..