旅游业、新型城镇化与经济增长

Tourism,New Urbanization,and Economic Growth

文章尝试将新型城镇化纳入旅游业导向型经济增长研究框架,考察旅游业、新型城镇化与经济增长之间的逻辑关系。基于中国分省(区、市)面板数据,在分别测度旅游业与新型城镇化综合发展指数基础上,文章通过构建动态面板计量模型,实证考察了旅游业与新型城镇化的经济增长效应。实证结果表明:旅游业导向型经济增长研究假说在中国得以被确认;新型城镇化不仅能够显著促进经济增长,而且旅游业与新型城镇化之间的协同作用也对经济增长具有显著的正向促进作用;通过中介效应模型进行机制检验后发现,产业结构升级是旅游业与新型城镇化协同作用影响经济增长的传导渠道;进一步研究发现,旅游业与新型城镇化之间形成协同效应对提升经济增长质量也具有积极作用。文章的政策建议是保持旅游业与新型城镇化之间耦合互动,增强两者之间的协同效应,能够促进经济增长规模,改善经济增长质量。

This study attempted to incorporate new urbanization into the research framework of tourismled growth(TLG)with an aim to examine the logical relationship between tourism,new urbanization and economic growth.Based on separately measuring the comprehensive development index of tourism and new urbanization with China’s provincial panel data,this study constructed a dynamic panel measurement model to empirically examine the growth effects of tourism and new urbanization.The empirical results show that the tourism-led growth hypothesis has been confirmed in China,and new urbanization construction can not only significantly promote economic growth,but also has a significant positive promotion effect on economic growth.With a test of a model for the mediating effect of the mechanism in relationship between the synergy between tourism and new urbanization and economic growth,it also found that the upgrading of the industrial structure is a transmission channel through which the synergy between tourism and new urbanization has a positive impact on economic growth and the synergy between tourism and new urbanization can significantly improving the quality of economic growth.The implication of this study is to maintain the coupling and interaction between tourism and new urbanization,and to enhance the synergy between them,which can strengthen the scale and quality of economic growth.