陕西旅游经济位序规模差异化特征研究

Study on the Differentiation Characteristics of Tourism Economy Rank and Scale in Shaanxi Province

在收集2001—2020年陕西10个城市旅游经济空间面板数据的基础上,探讨其位序规模差异化特征.研究表明:①陕西旅游经济呈不平衡发展状态,绝对差异呈扩大化,但整体向均衡化演进.②陕西旅游经济首位分布明显,首位度经历了“波浪状”变化过程,表明陕西旅游经济经历了“集中—分散”的交替变化历程.③位序规模分析表明,陕西旅游经济的增长也存在差异性.在地域差异上陕西旅游经济出现了“强者恒强,弱者恒弱”的马太效应;在时序差异上,2001—2010年规模差异较小,2012—2020年规模差异显著.④齐夫参数q值的变化表明陕西旅游经济经历了“首位型—集中型—首位型”的演变历程;理想K值与实际K值差值的变化态势表明,陕西旅游经济的现实收益大于理想收益.根据陕西旅游经济位序规模的变化将其发展态势分为稳定型、波动型、上升型和下降型4种形态,并从经济发展水平、旅游资源禀赋、旅游服务设施、交通和政策等方面进行了非疫情状态下旅游经济的影响因素分析.

Based on the spatial panel data of tourism economy of 10 prefecture-level cities in Shaanxi from 2001 to 2020,this paper discusses the differentiation characteristics of their ranking and scale.The research shows that:①The development of tourism economy in Shaanxi is unbalanced.The absolute difference is expanding,but the overall development is in the direction of equalization.②The primacy distribution of Shaanxi’s tourism economy is obvious,and the primacy degree has experienced a“wave-like”change process,indicating that Shaanxi’s tourism economy has experienced an alternate change process of“centralization-dispersion”.③The ranking scale analysis shows that there are differences in the growth of tourism economy in Shaanxi Province.In terms of regional difference,the Matthew effect of“the strong is always strong and the weak is always weak”appears in the tourism economy of Shaanxi Province.In terms of temporal difference,the scale difference between 2001 and 2010 is small,and the scale difference between 2012 and 2020 is significant.④The change of Ziv parameter q value indicates that Shaanxi tourism economy has experienced the evolution process of“primacy type-centralization type-primacy typ”.The change trend of the difference between the ideal K value and the actual K value shows that the realistic income of Shaanxi tourism economy is greater than the ideal income.According to the change of the order scale of Shaanxi tourism economy,the development trend of Shaanxi tourism economy is divided into four types:stable type,fluctuation type,rising type and declining type.The influencing factors of Shaanxi tourism economy under non-epidemic condition are analyzed from the aspects of economic development level,tourism resource endowment,tourism service facilities,transportation and policy.