高等教育机会与高中阶段教育类型的选择

Higher Education Opportunity and the Choice of Vocational vs.Academic High School

本文利用CHIP数据和高考指标的省际差异,考察了高等教育机会对高中阶段教育类型选择的影响。结果表明,增加大学录取指标能降低初中毕业生的辍学率;重点大学录取指标越多的省份,人们就读普通高中的概率越高。在城镇组中,重点大学录取指标与选择职业高中的概率负相关。普通高等教育对家庭的吸引力显著高于职业教育。高中阶段不同类型教育的协调发展需要充分考虑它们的回报和家庭的需求。

This research uses CHIP data of 2018 to examine the impact of higher education opportunities on the middle school graduates’ choice between academic and vocational high schools. The findings indicate that a higher university quota at the provincial level increases the likelihood of middle school graduates choosing an academic high school, and the probability of choosing a vocational high school is negatively correlated with college opportunities. These results suggest that spatial differences in higher education opportunities significantly influence the type of human capital investment at the high school stage in China.