互联网对制造业出口技术复杂度影响研究

Research on the Impact of Internet on Manufacturing Export Technology Complexity

文章基于2008-2017年40个国家的面板数据,构建固定效应、中介效应和门槛效应模型,实证检验并探讨了互联网对制造业出口技术复杂度的影响及内在机制。研究发现,互联网发展水平能显著促进制造业出口技术复杂度的提升,且存在异质性,互联网对高收入国家和技术密集型制造业出口技术复杂度的提升作用更大;同时,互联网发展水平还能通过扩大经济规模和激励研发创新两种间接效应对制造业出口技术复杂度产生积极作用。此外,互联网对制造业出口技术复杂度的影响还存在“边际效应”非线性递增的特点。文章最后探讨了相应的对策建议,以期为我国基于互联网、大数据等新一代信息技术发展提升制造业出口技术复杂度提供有益的思路。

Based on the panel data of 40 countries from 2008 to 2017,this paper builds fixed effect,intermediary effect and threshold effect models to empirically test and discuss the impact of the internet on the technological complexity of manufacturing exports and the internal mechanism.The research finds that the development level of the internet can significantly promote the improvement of the export technology complexity of manufacturing industry,and there is heterogeneity.The internet plays a greater role in improving the export technology complexity in high-income countries and technology intensive manufacturing industries.At the same time,the development of the internet can also play a positive role in the complexity of manufacturing export technology by promoting economic development and stimulating a country's R&D investment.In addition,the impact of the internet on the technological complexity of manufacturing exports also has the characteristics of"marginal effect"non-linear increase.Finally,the paper discusses the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions in order to provide useful ideas for the development of new generation information technology such as internet and big data to improve the technical complexity of manufacturing export.