农民收入与农业机械化的相关性研究——以成都市数据为样本

Study on the Correlation between Farmers’ Income and Agricultural Mechanization: Taking Chengdu City as A Sample

本文以成都市1978—2020年的数据为样本建立VAR模型,实证探究成都市农民收入与农业机械化之间的关联程度。研究表明,成都市农民收入与农业机械化水平之间存在单向格兰杰因果关系,农业机械化程度的提高与农民收入之间存在长期稳定的促进作用。因此,为推动农业农村现代化、解决农民持续增收的问题,就需要各级政府采取措施积极培育新型农民,提升农民对农业机械的投资意识,不断深化政府对农业农村的补贴政策,扩大对农业机械化的补贴范围等合理有效的科学决策。

Based on the data of Chengdu from 1978 to 2020, this paper established a VAR model to empirically explore the correlation between farmers’ i ncome and agricultural mechanization in Chengdu. The conclusion shows that there is a one-way Granger causality between farmers’ i ncome and the level of agricultural mechanization in Chengdu, and there is a long-term and stable promoting effect between the improvement of agricultural mechanization and farmers’ i ncome. Therefore, in order to promote the modernization of agriculture and rural areas and solve the problem of increasing farmers’ i ncome continuously, governments at all levels need to take reasonable and effective scientific decisions, such as actively cultivating new farmers, enhancing farmers’ a wareness of investment in agricultural machinery, continuously deepening the government’s subsidy policy for agriculture and rural areas, and expanding the scope of subsidies for agricultural mechanization.