21世纪初期世界天然气格局变化及启示

Changes and enlightenment of the world natural gas pattern in the early 21st century

从分析21世纪初期天然气生产、消费和区域间贸易的具体情况出发,展现各地区的发展特征、变化趋势和相互间的关系。指出天然气格局由20世纪后期以北美、欧洲为消费重心向21世纪初期因东亚南亚发展更快而更加均衡的延拓。“油气G4”(美国、俄罗斯、沙特阿拉伯、中国)在世界天然气的发展中有着重要的作用。在以化石能源时代向以非化石能源时代转变的过渡期,天然气起着重要的作用。分析近年来欧洲在能源转型上的问题,提出了能源转型的路线应稳中求进、因地制宜、因时制宜,实现多能互补。

It is analyzed of the specific situation of gas production, consumption and inter-regional trade in the beginning of this century, which shows the development characteristics, trends and mutual relations of each region. The consumption gravity extension from North America and Europe in the late last century to East Asia and South Asia at the beginning of this century, due to the faster development, a more balanced consumption pattern is forming.“Oil and gas G4”(the United States, Saudi Arabia, Russia,China) play important roles in the development of world gas industry. It’s a transitional period from an era dominated by fossil energy to an era dominated by non-fossil energy. Natural gas plays an important role. It is analyzed that the problems of energy transition in Europe in recent years. It is proposed that the route of energy transition should be adapted to realize multi-energy complementarity safe and suitable for local conditions and local stage of development.