雄安新区高等教育规模与结构的预测——基于高等教育与经济协同发展视角

Prediction of the Scale and Structure of Higher Education in Xiong’an New Area: From the Perspective of Coordinated Development of Higher Education and Economy

高等教育与经济协同发展是雄安新区打造全球科学、人才中心和创新高地的关键一环。基于高等教育与经济的协同关系,以面向建设国际科技创新中心的北京、上海、粤港澳大湾区为常模团体,从高校知识创新驱动、企业技术创新驱动两种模式出发,结合常模参照法与回归预测模型对不同人口规模及经济发展水平下雄安新区的高等教育规模及结构进行预测,并据此提出构建雄安新区高等教育系统的建议。

The coordinated development of higher education and economy is the key for Xiong’an New Area to build a global scientific talent center and innovation highland. Based on the collaborative relationship between higher education and economy, this paper takes Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, which are oriented towards the construction of international science and technology innovation centers, as the norm groups. Then, based on the two development modes of knowledge innovation driven by universities and technological innovation driven by enterprises and combined with the norm reference method and the regression prediction model, the scale and structure of higher education in Xiong’an New Area under different population sizes and economic development levels were predicted. Finally, suggestions were put forward to construct the higher education system of Xiong’an New Area.