河北省人口老龄化及对家庭消费结构的影响——以邯郸市为例

Population aging in Hebei Province and its impact on household consumption structure——-Take Handan as an example

2000年以来,河北省人口老龄化现象呈现高龄化趋向明显、城乡发展不平衡、进程加快等特点。老龄化意味着“人口红利”消失,这对经济领域中的消费结构产生影响。本文基于灰色关联度分析法的个案研究证明,老龄化与医疗保健、交通和通信等消费支出呈正相关关系,与衣着、食品烟酒等消费支出呈负相关关系。本文的政策建议是:扶持老年产业、完善社会保险制度、改善老年人就业环境和提升其收入水平,进而发挥消费对经济的拉动作用。

Since 2000,the phenomenon of population aging in Hebei Province has shown the characteristics of obvious aging trend,unbalanced urban and rural development,accelerated process and so on.Aging means the disappearance of "demographic dividend",which has an impact on the consumption structure in the economic field.Based on the case study of grey correlation analysis,this paper proves that aging is positively correlated with consumption expenditure such as medical care,transportation and communication,and negatively correlated with consumption expenditure such as clothing,food,tobacco and alcohol.The policy recommendations of this paper are to support the elderly industry,improve the social insurance system,improve the employment environment of the elderly and improve their income level,so as to give full play to the pulling effect of consumption on the economy.