2021年以来的中美关系:战略相持

Sino-US Relations since 2021:Strategic Stalemate

2021年,拜登总统入主白宫后,延续了特朗普政府对华政策的主基调,并在此基础上进行了部分调整。拜登政府进一步巩固了中国“战略竞争对手”定位,在经贸、高科技、地缘战略领域对中国发起了新一轮战略竞争。中国对此进行了有力回击,中美双方力量相对持平,中美战略竞争由战略防御阶段过渡到战略相持阶段。拜登政府在经贸领域实行“选择性脱钩”策略,对中美经贸关系和全球经济发展造成了一定影响。在高科技领域,美国升级对华打压制裁举措,以此维持其世界霸权地位,中美竞争加剧。在美国加紧全面推进“印太战略”的大背景下,中美两国围绕南海问题和中国台湾问题的较量不断升级。在中美战略竞争新时期,中美战略相持将长期持续。同时,管控分歧避免双方关系继续下滑仍将是中美关系的核心议题。

President Biden continued the main tone of Trump’s policy towards China after he took office in 2021. The Biden Administration further consolidated China’s position as a strategic competitor and launched a new round of strategic competition against China in economy, trade, high-tech and geo-strategy. With China’s forceful counter-blow, Sino-US strategic competition has transited from strategic defense to strategic stalemate. The Biden Administration implemented the strategy of “selective decoupling” in economy and trade, which has certain impact on Sino-US economic relations and global economic development. In the high-tech field, the US has escalated sanctions on China to maintain its world hegemony. Under the background of comprehensive promotion of the “Indo-Pacific strategy”, the contest between China and the United States over the South China Sea issue and the Taiwan question is escalating. In the new era of strategic competition, the Sino-US strategic stalemate will continue for a long time. At the same time, controlling differences and avoiding further decline of bilateral relations will remain the core issue of Sino-US relations.