基于贸易引力模型的中印尼能源贸易合作

Research on Energy Trade Cooperation between China and Indonesia from the Perspective of Trade Gravity Model

作为“一带一路”倡议的核心区域,印尼能源资源丰富,是我国能源贸易合作的重要伙伴。以两国之间的能源贸易合作作为研究重点,深入分析中印尼能源消费以及贸易的现状,建立贸易引力模型探析影响能源贸易的重要因素,并定量构建中印尼的能源贸易竞争以及互补指数。分析结果表明我国能源进口主要由对方的贸易环境以及能源互补的情况决定,从优化贸易环境、完善能源贸易合作机制、拓展能源贸易合作面等方面提出了深化两国能源贸易的对策。

As the core area of the Belt and Road Initiative, Indonesia is not only rich in energy resources, but also is an important partner of China in terms of energy trade cooperation. This paper focuses on the energy trade cooperation between China and Indonesia. First, in-depth analysis is conducted from the perspective of the current situation of energy consumption and trade between the two countries. Second, Trade Gravity Model is constructed to explore the important factors affecting energy trade. Third, the energy trade competition and complementarity index between the two countries are established. In general, the analysis results show that China’s energy imports are mainly determined by the trade environment of the other party and the situation of energy complementarity. Finally, countermeasures are put forward to deepen energy trade between the two countries from the aspects of optimizing the trade environment, improving the energy trade cooperation mechanism, and expanding the scope of energy trade cooperation.