海南地区航空物流产业发展影响因素实证研究与预测分析

Empirical Research and Forecast Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Hainan Aviation Logistics Industry Development

基于灰色关联聚类原理,从供需两个层面选取影响海南地区航空物流业发展的相关指标,通过对2011—2020年相关实际数据进行聚类与关联分析,找出海南地区航空物流产业发展的驱动因素,并基于灰色模型GM(1,1)对海南地区航空物流产业发展的衡量指标——航空货物周转量进行预测,得出海南地区航空物流业的整体水平将呈现出稳中有升的发展趋势,为进一步研究海南地区航空物流业的发展路径提供重要的依据与数据支撑。

Based on the grey correlation clustering principle,this paper selects the relevant indicators that affect the development of aviation logistics industry in Hainan from both supply and demand aspects.Through clustering and correlation analysis of relevant actual data from 2011 to 2020,the driving factors for the development of aviation logistics industry in Hainan are found out.Based on the grey model GM(1,1),the measurement index for the development of aviation logistics industry in Hainan——air cargo turnover is predicted.It is concluded that the overall level of the aviation logistics industry in Hainan will show a steady and rising trend,providing important basis and data support for further research on the development path of the aviation logistics industry in Hainan.