摘要
本文以北京市为例绘制能流图和碳流图以描述能量和碳的流动过程,采用二次指数平滑法实现对能源消耗及碳排放情况的预测分析。本文所述方法能够有效地对区域能源消费与碳排放情况进行分析预测,为能源电力系统低碳评价和转型提供技术支持。
Taking Beijing as an example,this paper draws energy flow and carbon flow diagrams to describe the flow process of energy and carbon.The quadratic exponential smoothing method is adopted to predict and analyze energy consumption and carbon emissions.The method described in this paper can provide technical support for low-carbon evaluation and transformation of energy and power systems.
作者
黄炜达
朱维骏
蓝映彬
HUANG Wei-da;ZHU Wei-jun;LAN Ying-bin
关键词
能流图
碳流图
二次指数法
分析预测
energy flow diagram
carbon flow diagram
quadratic exponential method
analysis and prediction