信息化条件下情报对抗系统建模与仿真

Modeling and simulation of intelligence counterwork system under the condition of informationization

针对信息化条件下情报对抗系统中参数关系难以量化等特点,以深入研究情报对抗机理为目的,采用系统动力学(SD)方法建立情报对抗模型,介绍了情报对抗内涵和系统动力学特点,明确了情报对抗模型的前提假设、边界界定,构建了情报对抗模型的因果关系图和流图,进行了基于系统动力学的仿真分析,可知情报软杀伤能力在情报对抗中具有倍增器的作用,为信息化条件下情报作战理论研究提供参考。

According to the characteristics of intelligence counterwork system under the informat-ization,such as it is difficult to quantify the parameter relationship. in order to study the mechanism of intelligence countermeasure deeply,the intelligence counterwork model is established adopted the System Dynamics(SD) method. The intelligence counterwork connotation and system dynamics characteristics are firstly introduced,and the premise assumption and boundary definition of the intelligence countermeasure model are clarified. The causality diagram and flow diagram of the intelligence countermeasure model are constructed. The simulation analysis is carried out based on system dynamics. The conclusion shows that the intelligence soft kill capability is a multiplier which plays the major role in intelligence countermeasure.It provides a reference for the theoretical research of intelligence operation under the informatization.