“一带一路”国内节点城市高质量发展路径——基于改进模糊综合评判法的实证

The High-quality Development Path of the Domestic Node Cities of the Belt and Road:Empirical Analysis Based on the Improved Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

以“一带一路”国内30个节点城市的经济潜力、企业效益、居民收入、金融发展、财政收支、对外开放、科教文卫与居住环境等8个方面的22个指标,构建城市高质量发展评价体系。运用改进模糊综合评判法量化分析城市高质量发展指数,将30个节点城市分为5类,考察城市高质量发展的实力、潜力和发展短板。研究发现:5类城市在评价因子与高质量发展水平上各有显著特征,同一类城市或同一个因子的发展趋势存在一定的共性;第4类和第5类城市应弥补科教文卫、企业效益和对外开放等方面的短板。

A high-quality urban development evaluation system is built based on 22 indicators in 8 aspects,including economic potential enterprise efficiency,resident income,financial development,fiscal revenue and expenditure,opening to the outside world,science,education,culture,health and living environment of 30 domestic node cities under the Belt and Road Initiatives.The improved fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to quantify and analyze the high-quality development index of cities,and 30 important node cities were divided into 5 categories to investigate the strength,potential and development weaknesses of high-quality development of cities.The results show that each of the five types of cities has its own significant characteristics in terms of evaluation factor and high-quality development level,and there are certain commonalities in the development trend of the same type of city or the same factor.The fourth and fifth types of cities should make up for the shortcomings in science,education,culture and health,enterprise efficiency and opening up in time.