摘要
以1996—2020年间智能物流产业专利数据为研究对象,分析智能物流技术跨领域融合的独立发展模式、单向型融合模式、顾问式双向融合模式、联络人式双向融合模式,并在此基础上基于局部相似性,从Jacard指标、PA指标、RA指标进行融合趋势预测。研究结果表明,不同类型的融合模式呈现稳定、微小波动趋势;联络人式双向融合是主要方式;基于不同指标计算的预测结果显示,专用机械、金属制品、信号传输等技术是未来主要融合方向,专用机械-金属制品、专用机械-信号传输等之间的融合是未来主要趋势。
Taking the patent data of intelligent logistics industry from 1996 to 2020 as the research object, analyzes the independent development mode, one-way integration mode, consultant-type two-way integration mode, and liaison-type two-way integration mode of cross-field integration of intelligent logistics technology. On this basis,based on the local similarity, the fusion trend is predicted from the Jacard index, PA index, and RA index. The research results show that: the different types of fusion models present a stable and slightly fluctuating trend, and the two-way fusion of liaison is the main mode. The prediction results calculated based on different indicators show that specialpurpose machinery, metal products, signal transmission and other technologies are the main directions of integration in the future;and the integration of special-purpose machinery-metal products, special-purpose machinery-signal transmission, etc. is the main trend in the future.
作者
刘立
苏丽芳
楼旭明
成泷
丁海瑜
Liu Li;Su Lifang;Lou Xuming;Cheng Long;Ding Haiyu(Institute of Economics and Management,Xi'an University of Posts and Telecommunications,Xi'an 710061,China;School of Modern Post,Xi'an University of Posts and Telecommunications,Xi'an 710061,China)
出处
《科技管理研究》
北大核心
2023年第3期122-131,共10页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
陕西省社会科学基金项目“基于工业互联网的陕西省制造业协同创新生态系统研究”(2020R009)
工业和信息化部通信软科学研究项目“5G在各垂直行业的融合关键技术及其应用发展路径研究”(2022-R-44)
陕西省教育厅重点科学研究新型智库项目“数字农业背景下陕南地区农户绿色生产要素配置行为研究”(20JT062)。
关键词
智能物流
专利共现网络
跨领域融合
融合模式
趋势预测
intelligent logistics
patent co-occurrence network
cross-field integration
integration mode
trend forecast
