低碳转型背景下煤炭消费率先达峰的路径与政策研究

Research on the path and policy of coal consumption peaking first under the background of low-carbon transformation

促进煤炭消费率先达峰是实现低碳转型发展的可行路径,使用能源消费弹性法和情境法分析煤炭消费率先达峰的路径。研究表明:低碳技术促进产业结构低碳化转型升级的速度越快,煤炭就能越早实现消费达峰;实施加快煤炭消费节能增效改造等措施和煤炭定位调整的产业政策配套,有利于有序引导煤炭消费退出或减量。

In order to achieve the low-carbon transformation and development,to promote coal consumption to peak first is a feasible path.Based on this,this paper uses the energy consumption elasticity method and the situational method to analyze the path for coal consumption to reach its peak first.Studies have shown that the faster low-carbon technology promotes the low-carbon transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure,the sooner coal can achieve peak consumption.The implementation of measures such as accelerating the energy-saving and efficiency improvement of coal consumption,and the industrial policy of coal positioning adjustment,is conducive to orderly guiding the withdrawal or reduction of coal consumption.