技术进步路径选择对浙江省制造业升级的影响——基于产品空间视角

The Impact of Technological Progress Path Choice on the Upgrading of Manufacturing Industry in Zhejiang Province From the Perspective of Product Space

技术进步路径选择是推动制造业升级的重要途径,而在此过程中也会受到产业之间的邻近关系的影响。因此,文中从产品空间角度出发,利用浙江省2012—2020年的制造业面板数据,以产品之间的邻近度作为门槛变量,综合考察产业之间的邻近关系与技术进步路径之间的适配问题,以及在“中心—外围”式的产品空间中相异的技术进步路径对制造业升级的影响。研究发现:不同的技术进步路径与制造业升级之间存在显著的产品邻近度双重门槛效应,自主创新式的技术进步路径整体上对产业的升级有正向影响;技术引进式的技术进步路径则对于产品空间邻近性较低区域产业的升级具有显著性的影响;位于产品空间邻近性较高区域的产业采取自主创新式的技术进步路径更能推动制造业升级,邻近性较低区域产业则应当通过技术引进的路径来推动产业升级的实现;模仿创新对产业升级的作用受到吸收能力的调节。

The choice of technological progress path is an important way to promote the upgrading of the manufacturing industry,and in this process,it will also be affected by the proximity between industries.Therefore,from the perspective of product space,this paper uses the manufacturing panel data of Zhejiang Province from 2012 to 2020,takes the proximity between products as the threshold variable,comprehensively examines the adaptation between the proximity relationship between industries and the technological progress path,and the impact of different technological progress paths on manufacturing upgrading in the“center-periphery”product space.It is found that there is a significant double threshold effect of product proximity between different technological progress paths and manufacturing upgrading,and the independent innovation technological progress path has a positive impact on industrial upgrading as a whole.The technological progress path of technology introduction has a significant impact on the upgrading of industries in regions with low product spatial proximity.Industries located in areas with high product spatial proximity can promote manufacturing upgrading by adopting independent innovation technological progress paths,while industries in areas with low proximity should promote industrial upgrading through technology introduction paths.The role of imitation innovation on industrial upgrading is regulated by absorption capacity.