桂林市旅游景区时空演化及影响因素分析

Analysis on spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of tourist attractions in Guilin

以2006-2020年桂林3A及以上旅游景区为研究对象,运用重心模型和GIS空间分析方法探究桂林旅游景区时空演化特征,并借助地理探测器对其影响因素进行分析.结果表明:在时间维度上,桂林旅游景区在数量和质量上均呈稳步增长趋势,具体可划分为缓慢增长期(2006-2010年)、高质发展期(2011-2015年)和快速增长期(2016-2020年),旅游景区重心呈现出先“南北”后“东西”方位的移动轨迹,具体可划分为“南移”(2006-2008年)、“北归”(2009-2015年)和“东进”(2016-2020年)三个阶段.在空间维度上,桂林旅游景区为凝聚型空间分布,但随着时间的推移其离散程度也在不断增强,呈现出中心城区密集四周疏散的“核心-边缘”扩张趋势.结合标准差椭圆分析发现,桂林旅游景区在南北空间分布上呈现先集中后分散的演变过程,东西方向上为先分散后集中的空间分布态势.最后研究发现,桂林旅游景区的空间分布是社会经济和自然因素共同作用的结果,其中,交通条件、市场需求和水文要素是其核心影响因素,不同等级景区的核心影响因素略有差异.

This paper takes Guilin 3A and above tourist attractions from 2006 to 2020 as the research object,uses the gravity center model and GIS spatial analysis method to analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of Guilin tourist attractions,and explores its influencing factors with the help of geographical detectors.It is found that in terms of time dimension,the number and quality of Guilin’s tourist attractions show a steady growth trend,which can be divided into slow growth period(2006 – 2010),high-quality development period(2011 – 2015) and rapid growth period(2016– 2020).The center of gravity of tourist attractions shows a moving trajectory in the direction of‘north-south’ and ‘east-west’,which can be divided into three stages:‘southward’(2006–2008),‘northward’(2009– 2015) and ‘eastward’(2015– 2020).In the spatial dimension,Guilin tourist attractions are condensed spatial distribution,but with the passage of time,the degree of dispersion is also increasing,showing the ’core-edge’ expansion trend of dense evacuation around the central city.In addition,combined with the standard deviation ellipse analysis,it is found that the spatial distribution of Guilin’s tourist attractions in the north and south shows the evolution process of concentration first and then dispersion,while in the east and west,it is the spatial distribution trend of dispersion first and then concentration.Finally,it is found that the spatial distribution of Guilin tourist attractions is the result of the interaction of socio-economic and natural factors,among which traffic conditions,market demand and hydrological factors are the core influencing factors,but the core influencing factors of different levels of scenic spots are slightly different.