“双碳”战略下中国区域碳减排的空间效应研究

Research on the Spatial Effect of China s Regional Carbon Emission Reduction Under the Background of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals

碳达峰碳中和成为国家中长期发展的重大战略,是新发展理念的重要内容。本文全面分析了中国30个省份的碳排放趋势和特征,分析了各省份碳排放脱钩弹性,并利用空间相关指数对碳排放强度和弹性系数的空间相关性进行分析,发现区域碳减排效果有很大差异,部分省份没有完成国家碳减排目标,但有部分省份实现了碳排放脱钩,为实现碳达峰目标奠定了基础。各省份之间碳排放强度具有明显的正空间相关性,但碳排放弹性系数不存在空间相关性。要积极稳妥推进碳达峰碳中和,加快发展方式绿色转型,完善节能降碳政策体系,建设能源技术创新体系,做好碳减排的区域合作,推进区域绿色经济协调发展。

Carbon peaking and carbon neutrality have become a major strategy for the country s medium and long-term development and an important part of the new development concept.This paper comprehensively analyses the carbon emission trends and characteristics of 30 provinces in China,analyses the carbon emission decoupling elasticity of each province,and uses the spatial correlation index to analyse the spatial correlation between the carbon emission intensity and the elasticity coefficient.It is found that there were great differences in the regional carbon emission reduction effect.Some provinces did not complete the national carbon emission reduction goal,but some provinces achieved the carbon emission decoupling,laying the foundation for achieving the carbon peak goal.There is a significant positive spatial correlation of carbon emission intensity among provinces,but there is no spatial correlation of carbon emission elasticity coefficients.We should actively and steadily promote carbon peak and carbon neutrality,accelerate the green transformation of development mode,improve the energy conservation and carbon reduction policy system,build an energy technology innovation system,do a good job in regional cooperation in carbon emission reduction,and promote the coordinated development of regional green economy.