高质量发展阶段旅游业发展水平空间分异成因探测——基于因素分解的黄河流域实证

Exploring the causes of spatial differentiation of tourism development level in the high-quality development stage:Empirical evidence of Yellow River Basin based on factor decomposition

立足旅游业发展影响因素的阶段性变化,构建了高质量发展阶段旅游业发展影响因素指标体系,并采用地理探测器、地理加权回归等方法探讨了2019年黄河流域旅游业发展水平的空间分异成因。结果表明:(1)新发展阶段,区域旅游业发展既受到传统因素的影响,又受到新发展理念等新因素的影响,二者共同组成了高质量发展阶段区域旅游业发展的影响因素体系。(2)黄河流域旅游业发展水平呈现由下游向上游逐级递减的空间分异格局,上中游地区内部差异较大,下游地区较小,上中下游之间存在比较显著的供需不匹配现象。(3)在单一维度和综合维度上,各因素对旅游业发展均有显著的影响,但新因素强于传统因素,各因子的影响力排序具有一致性,旅游业发展受因子间协同作用影响更大。(4)传统因素中消费水平、交通条件和旅游资源禀赋,新因素中创新能力和绿色生产对旅游业发展具有显著的空间异质性影响,但其异质性空间效应各不相同。

On the basis of the stage changes of the influencing factors of tourism development,the index system of influencing factors of tourism development in the high-quality development stage is constructed,and the spatial differentiation causes of tourism development level in the Yellow River Basin of China in 2019 are explored using geodetector and geographically weighted regression.The following conclusions are drawn:(1)In the new development stage,the development of regional tourism is affected by traditional and new factors,such as the novel development concept,both forming the system of factors affecting regional tourism development in the high-quality development stage.(2)The level of tourism development in the Yellow River Basin shows a spatial divergence pattern of decreasing from downstream to upstream,with relatively large differences in the middle and upper reaches and small differences in the downstream areas and a relatively significant mismatch of supply and demand between the upper,middle,and lower reaches.(3)In single and comprehensive dimensions,each factor has a significant influence on tourism development.However,the new factors are stronger than the traditional factors,and the influence ranking of each factor has consistency.Thus,tourism development is remarkably influenced by the synergy between factors.(4)Among the traditional factors,including consumption level,transportation conditions,and tourism resource endowment,and among the new factors,including innovation capacity and green production,have a significant spatial heterogeneous influence on tourism development.However,their heterogeneous spatial effects are different.