RCEP背景下中日纺织品出口三元边际特征及前景

Ternary marginal characteristics and Prospect Analysis of textile exports between China and Japan under the background of RCEP

本文根据1995-2019年中日双边纺织品贸易数据,对中日纺织品贸易进行分解,并分析三元边际对双边贸易增长的影响和贡献。结果表明:该期间中国对日本纺织品出口种类全面,出口数量增速快,价格却有待进一步提升。日本对中国出口从数量增长快转为价格提升,价格明显高于中国平均进口价格水平。从贡献率来看,中国对日本纺织品的出口增长主要源于种类数量的深化,而日本对我国出口波动在不同阶段的推动力不同。随着RCEP的实施,将深化中日双边纺织品贸易合作。

Based on the bilateral textile trade data between China and Japan from 1995 to 2019,this paper decomposes the textile trade between China and Japan,and analyzes the impact and contribution of the ternary margin to the growth of bilateral trade.The results show that during this period,China's textile exports to Japan were comprehensive,the export volume increased rapidly,but the price needs to be further improved.Japan's export to China has changed from a rapid increase in quantity to an increase in price,which is significantly higher than China's average import price.From the perspective of contribution rate,the growth of China's textile exports to Japan is mainly due to the deepening of the number of types,while the driving forces of Japan's export fluctuations to China are different at different stages.With the implementation of RCEP,China Japan bilateral textile trade cooperation will be deepened.