多变量混合算法模型预测电力消费研究

Research on hybrid model of power consumption forecasting based on multivariable and multi-algorithm combination

在深化燃煤发电上网电价市场化改革的大背景下,售电环节将变得多元性,传统的电量预测模型将无法满足电力企业的运营需求。文章引入Prophet、BPNN等模型,研究多变量及多算法组合的混合模型,以提升电量预测的能力。

In the context of deepening the imarket-oriented reform of the feed-in price of coal-fred power generation,the power selling link will become diversifed,and the traditional power forecasting model will not meet the operational needs of power enterprises.This paper introduces Prophet,BPNN and other models to study the hybrid model of multi-variable and multi-algorithm combination to improve the power forecasting ability.