拜登政府对华气候政策的竞争逻辑

The Competitive Logic of Biden Administration's Climate Policy towards China

气候变化是中美双方都有较高合作意愿的核心议题。与奥巴马政府相比,拜登政府却将更多的气候治理核心要素纳入竞争轨道。责任分配日益强调“对等”、“统一”;推进方式“胁迫”和“诱导”色彩浓厚;关键内容聚焦清洁技术产业并谋求脱钩。竞争逻辑凸显的目的在于:一是谋求气候治理领导权;二是彰显气候治理意识形态更好服务价值观外交;三是维持气候治理体系相对位置的落差。拜登政府的对华竞争措施在一定程度上塑造了中国发展的外部环境和参与气候治理的角色,但近期和中长期都很难实现其服务战略竞争的核心目标。美国竞争性的对华气候政策不利于中美战略关系的稳定,也会妨碍全球气候多边进程取得类似《巴黎协议》的突破性成果.

Compared with the Obama administration,the Biden administration has put more elements of climate governance into the competitive track.The purposes of the competitive policy toward China are fighting for the leadership of climate governance,highlighting the ideology in climate governance and serving the value diplomacy,and maintaining the relative position of the climate governance system.Biden government's competition policy to some extent has shaped the external environment of China's participation in climate governance.It is difficult for the United States to achieve its core strategic goal in the near and medium to long term.The competitive climate policy towards China is not conducive to the stability of the strategic relationship between China and United States,and will also hinder the global climate multilateral process from achieving breakthroughs similar to the Paris Agreement.