“一带一路”倡议的文化产品贸易促进效应

Promotion Effect of Cultural Products Trade Proposed by “the Belt and Road” Initiative

通过匹配联合国商品贸易统计数据库、世界银行数据库、国际货币基金组织等数据库,运用DID模型评估了“一带一路”倡议对于文化产品贸易的促进效应,并基于“五通”指数进行了机制分析,最后基于不同国家特质与不同文化产品进行了异质性分析。研究发现:“一带一路”倡议显著促进了中国文化产品贸易;该效应主要通过“五通”机制中的政策沟通、民心相通、贸易畅通和设施联通发挥中介作用,资金融通的中介机制尚不显著;该效应具有异质性,在与海上丝绸之路沿线国家和政治稳定安全国家的贸易中更为显著,且相较于创意型文化产品,对劳动密集型文化产品贸易的促进效果更为明显。

This paper firstly matched several databases,like the United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database,the World Bank Database and the International Monetary Fund,and then used the DID model to evaluate the promotion effect of the “the Belt and Road”initiative on cultural goods trade.Meanwhile,the paper made a mechanism analysis based on the “five links”index,and further made a heterogeneity analysis based on different national characters and various cultural products.The results were as follows.“The Belt and Road”initiative has significantly promoted the trade of Chinese cultural products.This promotion effect also played an intermediary role through policy communication,popular communication,smooth trade and facility connection in the “five links”mechanism,while the intermediary mechanism of capital accommodation was not yet significant.The promotion effect was heterogeneous,especially for the countries along the Maritime Silk Road or having political stability and security.And compared with creative cultural products,the promotion effect was more evident for labor-intensive products.