中国与RCEP伙伴国畜产品贸易竞争性与互补性研究

Study on the Competitiveness and Complementarity of Livestock Trade between China and RCEP Partner Countries

中国和RCEP伙伴国畜产品贸易总额常年处于逆差地位。在依存性方面,中国畜产品出口对RCEP伙伴国的依赖程度明显高于RCEP伙伴国对中国市场的依赖程度,其中中国畜产品出口与柬埔寨、日本、老挝、马来西亚、缅甸、韩国、泰国和越南的贸易依存度较大;澳大利亚、新西兰和韩国畜产品出口与中国的贸易联系紧密程度较高。在竞争性方面,中国的畜产品贸易具有较强的比较劣势,但相较文莱、柬埔寨、日本、韩国、新加坡和越南,仍具备一定的比较优势。中国和RCEP伙伴国畜产品出口相似度较低,畜产品在国际市场上竞争程度不激烈。在互补性方面,中国作为进口国时畜产品贸易的互补性指数值整体高于中国作为出口国时的贸易互补性指数值。中国进口澳大利亚、马来西亚、新西兰和泰国的畜产品贸易互补性较强。中国和RCEP伙伴国的畜产品贸易符合双边利益,贸易发展潜力大,有很好的合作前景。

The total trade of livestock products between China and the RCEP partner countries is in a deficit position all year round.In terms of dependence,the dependence of China's livestock exports on RCEP partner countries is significantly higher than the dependence of RCEP partner countries on China's market,among which the trade dependence of China's livestock exports on Cambodia,Japan,Laos,Malaysia,Myanmar,Republic of Korea,Thailand and Vietnam is greater;the trade links between Australia,New Zealand and Republic of Korea's livestock exports and China are closer.In terms of competitiveness,China's trade in livestock products has a strong comparative disadvantage,but still has certain comparative advantages compared to Brunei,Cambodia,Japan,Korea,Singapore and Vietnam.The similarity between China's livestock exports and those of China's RCEP partners is low,and livestock products do not compete to a significant degree in the international market.In terms of complementarity,the overall complementarity index for trade in livestock products when China is an importing country is higher than the value of the trade complementarity index when China is an exporting country.China's trade in livestock products imported from Australia,Malaysia,New Zealand and Thailand is highly complementary.Trade in livestock products between China and the RCEP partner countries is in line with bilateral interests,with high potential for trade development and good prospects for cooperation.