中国省域文化产业竞争力水平测度与时空格局演变

Measurement of the Competitiveness Level of Provincial CulturalIndustry and Its Evolution of Spatio-temporal Pattern in China

根据测度指标的可量化性、科学性原则和数据的可获得性、权威性原则,利用文献研究法和专家调查法构建文化产业竞争力指标体系,然后运用熵值法测算中国31个省份文化产业竞争力水平并作比较分析,并利用空间聚类分析方法对各省份文化产业竞争力差异进行分析,运用全局空间自相关和局部空间自相关分析法揭示全国文化产业竞争力的空间相关性和时空格局演变特征。研究发现:全国范围内文化产业竞争力水平有较大差异,总体上呈现由东向西下降态势,东南沿海地区是文化产业强省份的集聚地;全国文化产业竞争力在整体上呈现出空间自相关性,即表现出较强的集聚效应;全国文化产业空间格局发生一定程度的演变,东南沿海的文化产业强省份具有溢出效应,一定程度上带动中部和西部地区发展,其他区域格局相对稳定;冷-热点区域的空间分布呈现热点值由东部向西部递减的趋势,东部地区对中西部地区有一定热化作用。

The“Fourteenth Five-Year Plan”of China proposes to improve national cultural soft power.Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2008 to 2019,according to the principles of quantifiability and scientificity of the measurement indicators and the availability and authority of the data,this paper uses the literature research method and expert survey method to reconstruct the competitiveness index system of the provincial cultural industry in China,and uses the entropy method to measure and conduct comparative analysis of the competitiveness level of the provincial cultural industry.The spatial cluster analysis method is used to analyze the differences in the competitiveness of cultural industries in various provinces and regions,and the global spatial autocorrelation and local spatial autocorrelation analysis methods are used to reveal the spatial correlation and spatial-temporal pattern evolution characteristics of the competitiveness of national cultural industries.The study shows that the level of cultural industry competitiveness across the country is quite different.Generally speaking,it is declining from east to west.The southeast coastal area is the gathering place of strong provinces and regions of cultural industry,while the competitiveness of some provinces and regions in the central and western regions is at a low level all the year round.On the whole,the competitiveness of the national cultural industry shows a spatial autocorrelation,that is,it shows a strong agglomeration effect.The spatial pattern of cultural industry in the whole country has evolved to a certain extent.The strong provinces and regions of the cultural industry in the southeast coast have spillover effects,which to some extent drives the development of the central and western regions,while other regional patterns are relatively stable.The cold-hot spot analysis shows that the coordinated development of the national cultural industry has a good trend.From a static point of view,the spatial distribution of cold-hot spot areas shows a trend of decreasing hot spots from the east to the west.From a dynamic point of view,the eastern region has a certain heating effect on the central and western regions.Based on the research and above conclusions,this paper puts forward suggestions such as further giving full play to the advantages of the cultural industry in the eastern region,improving relevant laws and regulations and mechanisms,and creating an environment and atmosphere conducive to the development of the cultural industry to enhance the spillover effect of the cultural industry in eastern regions,to help the rapid development of the cultural industry in the central and western regions,and to promote the coordinated development of the cultural industry in the central and western regions and the eastern regions.This paper aims to enrich the research on the measurement of the level of competitiveness of cultural industry and the evolution of its spatial and temporal pattern,and provide a decision-making reference for the provinces and regions in China to enhance the competitiveness of the cultural industry.