日本岸田政府“印太战略”新动向及中国应对

The Indo-Pacific Strategy of the Kishida Administration:New Progression and China􀆳s Response

岸田政府的“印太战略”是日本前首相安倍“印太战略”总体构想的延续与发展。岸田政府“印太战略”旨在限制中国发展,实现印太地区力量平衡,促进“新资本主义”政策的实施,提升战略自主。岸田政府上台后从政治、经济、外交、防卫等方面全面推进“印太战略”。政治上,岸田政府继续巩固美日同盟,构建中日关系新框架;经济上,创造经济增长新动力,强化经济安保;外交上,强调价值观外交,组建民主联盟;防务上,聚焦印太地区军事安全,提升自主防卫能力。然而,岸田政府的战略实施仍面临诸多挑战。第一,岸田政府“印太战略”将受到日本国内问题的牵制。第二,日本伙伴关系不稳固,东盟国家不愿追随日本“印太战略”。第三,日本“印太战略”难以摆脱美国影响而实现战略自主。第四,“印太战略”框架下的中日合作难以实现。此外,中国影响力的扩大将制约岸田政府“印太战略”的实际效果。岸田政府的“印太战略”对中国造成了一定负面影响。中国应稳妥应对,管控分歧,将中日关系纳入良性发展轨道。

The Indo-Pacific Strategy of the Kishida administration is the continuation and development of the overall concept of the Indo-Pacific Strategy of former Japanese Prime Minister Abe.The Indo-Pacific Strategy of the Kishida administration aims to curb China􀆳s development,achieve the balance of power in the Indo-Pacific region,promote the implementation of the“new capitalism”policy,and enhance strategic autonomy.After taking office,the Kishida administration comprehensively promoted the Indo-Pacific Strategy from the political,economic,diplomatic,defense and other aspects.Politically,the Kishida administration continued to consolidate the US-Japan alliance and build a new framework for China-Japan relations.Economically,it creates new impetus for economic growth and strengthens economic security.Diplomatically,it emphasizes value diplomacy and forms democratic alliances.In terms of defense,it focuses on the military security of the Indo-Pacific region and enhances self defense capabilities.However,the implementation of the Kishida administration􀆳s strategy still faces many challenges.First,Japan􀆳s domestic problems will hamper the implementation of the Kishida administration􀆳s Indo-Pacific Strategy.Second,Japan􀆳s partnership is not stable,and ASEAN countries are unwilling to follow Japan􀆳s Indo-Pacific Strategy.Third,it is difficult for Japan􀆳s Indo-Pacific Strategy to get rid of the influence of the United States to achieve strategic independence.Fourth,China-Japan cooperation under the framework of the Indo-Pacific Strategy is difficult to achieve.In addition,the expansion of China􀆳s influence will restrict the actual effect of the Kishida administration􀆳s Indo-Pacific Strategy.The Indo-Pacific Strategy of the Kishida administration has had a certain negative impact on China-Japan relations.China should respond in a prudent manner,manage and control differences,and bring China-Japan relations into the track of sound development.