“山川异域,风月同天”:日本公众的群际接触、社会信任与对华形象认知

The Relationship of Japanese Public's Intergroup Contact,Social Trust a Cognition of Chinese National Image

了解日本公众的对华民意关乎中日关系大局,是我国对外政策制订的重要依据,也是两国间交流合作的关键推动力。本文以“寰球民意指数”(2020)调查结果为依据,客观评估日本公众的对华形象认知,及其如何受到群际接触、社会信任、国家认同、威胁感知等因素的综合影响。分析表明,日本公众的总体对华形象认知较为复杂,既普遍认可中国在当今国际事务中的重要影响力,又将中国视为日本当前主要的威胁国之一。本文证实了群际接触对日本公众对华形象认知的正向预测作用。在这一影响机制中,社会信任影响着日本公众在群际接触中的认知和判断,间接预测了他们的对华形象认知;国家认同与威胁感知在个体信息处理过程中作用突出,也影响了群际接触与日本公众对华形象认知之间的相关关系。研究呼应了百年变局深刻演进、中日关系面临关键节点的时势,有助于在中日邦交正常化逾50周年的背景下,推动两国民意相向而行,开创中日友好的新局面。

Understanding Japanese public opinion towards China is a key factor in Sino-Japanese relations,an important basis for China's foreign policy formulation,and a key driving force for exchanges and cooperation between the two countries.Based on the findings of Global Public Opinion Index(2020),this study objectively assesses Japanese public's cognition of Chinese national image and how it is affected by intergroup contact,social trust,national identity,threat perception and other factors.This study shows that the Japanese public's overall perception of China is complex,as they generally recognized China's international influence,but also saw China as one of the biggest threats to Japan at present.This study confirms the positive predictive effect of intergroup contact on Japanese public's Cognition of Chinese National Image.In this mechanism,social trust influences the Japanese public's perceptions and judgments in intergroup contact,indirectly predicting their perceptions of China;national identity and threat perception,which play a prominent role in individual information processing,also influence the correlation between intergroup contact and Japanese public's Cognition of Chinese National Image.The study echoes the current trends of changes unseen in a century and the critical juncture of Sino-Japanese relations,which helps to promote a new situation of friendship between the two countries in the context of the 5th anniversary of the normalization of diplomatic relations between China and Japan.