摘要
为识别城市安全发展状态和存在的问题,基于国内外韧性城市和我国安全发展示范城市建设实践经验,系统研究城市安全、韧性和安全发展等目标的演化历程;基于城市复杂适应系统和韧性理论,探讨城市安全发展的目标和韧性潜能表现,提出评估指标体系和指数生成方法。研究结果表明:安全是可持续发展的重要保障,是城市系统在面对危险、威胁等不确定干扰事件中保持可持续发展的一种状态;系统韧性反映城市系统防灾和应急模式从被动反应向主动防范、及时适应和调整的转变能力,是实现安全发展重要手段;城市安全发展评估是一个动态过程,应关注城市系统的韧性表现,确保城市系统始终对灾难事件保持持续适应和提升的管理模式。
In order to identify the state of urban security development and existing problems,this paper systematically studies the development process of urban safety,resilience and safe development based on the building practical experiences of resilient cities and safe development cities in China.The connotation and resilience potentials of urban security development are expounded from the urban complex adaptive system and resilience theory perspective.The evaluation index system and index generation method are given.The research results show that safety is an important guarantee for sustainable development,and a necessary condition for the urban system in the face of uncertain interference,such as dangerous and threatening events.System resilience embodies the transformation abilities of urban system disaster prevention and emergency mode from passive response to active prevention,timely adaptation and adjustment,which is an important means to achieve safe development.The evaluation of urban safe development is a dynamic process,which should pay attention to the resilience performance of the urban system to ensure that the urban system is always in the process of continuous adaptation and upgrading.
作者
颜峻
左哲
王永柱
刘志强
张彧婷
YAN Jun;ZUO Zhe;WANG Yongzhu;LIU Zhiqiang;ZHANG Yuting(School of Safety Engineering,China University of Labor Relations,Beijing 100045,China;Urban Safety Research Center,National Academy of Safety Science and Engineering,Ministry of Emergency Management,Beijing 100012,China;China Academy of Safety Science and Technology,Beijing 100012,China)
出处
《中国安全科学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第3期118-125,共8页
China Safety Science Journal
基金
中国劳动关系学院2021年研究生教改项目(YJG2101)。
关键词
城市安全发展指数
评估
指标体系
韧性理论
复杂适应系统
urban security development index
evaluation
evaluation index system
resilience theory
complex adaptive system