基于空间计量模型的数字普惠金融与广东省协调发展研究

Research on Digital Inclusive Finance and Coordinated Development of Guangdong Province Based on Spatial Econometric Model

基于2011—2020年广东省21个地级市的面板数据,本文运用熵权法测度各城市的协调发展水平,并构建空间计量模型探究数字普惠金融对协调发展的影响。结果表明:广东省协调发展水平总体上具有空间依赖性,局部上表现为空间集聚,数字普惠金融和协调发展均表现出显著的空间相关性;数字普惠金融总体上对本地区协调发展水平有显著的积极影响,但对邻近城市有负向空间溢出效应;进一步研究发现,其对粤东、粤西和珠三角地区的促进作用较显著,但对粤北地区的影响不显著。

Based on the panel data of 21 prefecture-level cities in Guangdong Province from 2011 to 2020,this paper uses entropy weight method to measure the coordinated development level of each city,and constructs a spatial econometric model to explore the impact of digital inclusive fi nance on the coordinated development.The results show that the coordinated development level of Guangdong Province is spatially dependent in general and spatially concentrated in local areas.Digital inclusive fi nance and coordinated development show signifi cant spatial correlation.On the whole,digital fi nancial inclusion has a signifi cant positive impact on the coordinated development level of the region,but has a negative spatial spillover eff ect on neighboring cities.Further study shows that it has a signifi cant promoting eff ect on east Guangdong,West Guangdong and Pearl River Delta region,but has no signifi cant eff ect on North Guangdong region.