基于引力模型下RCEP建立前后中日林产品贸易研究

Research on Sino-Japanese Forest Product Trade before and after the Establishment of RCEP Based on Gravitational Model

通过对传统引力模型进行解读,考虑中日经济规模,中国人口数量及两国汇率等影响因素,对2000—2021年间,中日两国的林产品贸易数据进行对比分析,提出应增长经济规模,扩大劳动力数量,保证汇率稳定的相关建议。通过中日两国林产品贸易的具体研究,有助于对RCEP建立后中国对外林产品贸易政策的制定提出合理建议。

Considering the influencing factors such as the economic scale,the number of Chinese ports and the exchange rate of the two countries,this paper comparatively analyzed the trade data of forest products between China and Japan from 2000 to 2021 through the interpretation of the traditional gravitational model.It put forward relevant suggestions to increase the economic scale,to expand the number of labor force and to ensure the stability of the exchange rate.Through the specific study of forest product trade between China and Japan,it s helpful to put forward reasonable suggestions for the formulation of China's foreign forest products trade policy after the establishment of RCEP.