地方国企业主方项目风险评估

Risk Assessment of Local State-owned Enterprise Owners'Projects

地方国企业主方普遍存在在项目实际管理过程中应用风险管理不够的问题,研究以科学的方法对项目存在的各类风险进行梳理、监控和管理,以达到项目建成后能获得良好的经济效益和社会效益的目标具有重要的意义。本文阐述了地方国企业主方项目风险定性分析和定量分析的步骤和方法。结果表明,应用核对表法和专家打分法可确定项目的风险评价的指标体系,可以用层次分析法确定各层级指标的权重,采用模糊综合评判法对项目进行评价。

There is a common problem of insufficient application of risk management by local state-owned enterprise owners in the actual project management process.It is of great significance to research and use scientific methods to sort out,monitor,and manage various risks existing in the project,in order to achieve the goal of achieving good economic and social benefits after the project is completed.This article elaborates on the steps and methods of qualitative and quantitative analysis of project risks for local state-owned enterprises.The results indicate that the application of checklist method and expert scoring method can determine the indicator system for risk assessment of projects,and the weight of indicators at each level can be determined using Analytic Hierarchy Process.The project can be evaluated using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.