从“九合一”选举看2024年“大选”:中国台湾政党竞争新态势

An Analysis on the 2024"General Election"from the Perspective of"Nine-in-One"Election:the New Situation of Political Party Competition in Taiwan,China

选举是直接驱动中国台湾政局发展演变的重要形式。2022年底中国台湾“九合一”选举以民进党遭遇历史性挫败而告终,不只是直接引发民进党后续的主席改选、行政机构重大人事调整、蓝绿对立加剧等,更对中国台湾2024年选战带来重大的影响。中国台湾地区各政党围绕2024年的选举攻防早已开打,蓝营内部的竞合及其困局、绿营执政的包袱与民意压力、台海局势与两岸议题的交互影响,都无疑使中国台湾政党围绕2024年选举的竞争呈现更趋复杂激烈的新态势。

Elections are important forms that directly drive the development and evolution of China Taiwan's political situation.In 2022,China Taiwan's"Nine-in-One"election ended with a historic defeat for the DPP,which not only directly triggered the subsequent re-election of the DPP's chairman,major personnel adjustments in administrative agencies,and intensified opposition between"pan-blue camps"and"pan-green camps",but also had a significant impact on China Taiwan's 2024 election campaign.The political parties in Taiwan,China have already started fighting for the 2024 election.The competition and cooperation within the"pan-blue camps"and its dilemma,the burden of the"pan-green camps"governance and the pressure of public opinion,and the interaction between the situation in the China Taiwan Straits and cross-Strait issues,will undoubtedly make China Taiwan's political parties'competition on the 2024 election present a new and more fierce trend.