亚洲金融市场形势与展望

Asian financial market situation and outlook

随着美联储加息步伐放缓、经济缓慢复苏、疫情和地缘政治风险边际影响下降,预计2023年亚洲金融市场前景谨慎乐观。2023年,亚洲股票市场指数整体或将走出反弹态势,反弹高度将取决于美联储为遏制通胀而继续加息的节奏和力度、亚洲经济体的经济复苏态势以及乌克兰危机引发的国际大宗商品价格冲击等因素的叠加影响。

Generally speaking,the non-performing loan ratio of the banking sector in Asian economies is generally lower than the international warning line of 10%,which indicates that the probability of the outbreak of banking crisis in Asian economies is small,but it cannot be ruled out that some economies may detonate non-performing bank assets due to debt crisis in the future.