基于空间视角的安徽省区域旅游经济影响因素研究

On Influencing Factors of Regional Tourism Economic Development in Anhui Province Based on Spatial Perspective

文章选取安徽省16个市2011—2019年的面板数据,首先分析安徽省旅游经济发展的整体状况,然后通过空间相关性的检验,建立空间计量模型,分析影响因素。研究结果表明:安徽省16个市的旅游经济存在着显著的空间自相关性,其中代表经济发展水平的人均GDP、旅游总人数、代表对外开放程度的外商直接投资额以及代表服务业发展水平的第三产业占比的系数为正,即有正向的空间溢出效应,而代表技术进步的各地区研究与实验发展(R&D)经费支出的系数为负,即有负向的空间溢出效应,且均通过了显著性检验,而旅游基础设施建设和交通便利程度对旅游经济发展的作用不明显。这表明并不是所有影响旅游经济发展的因素都是促进作用,也有抑制作用。最后,根据研究结果,给出了促进安徽省区域旅游业经济发展的合理建议。

This paper mainly selects the panel data of 16 cities in Anhui Province from 2011 to 2019,first analyzes the overall situation of tourism economic development in Anhui Province,and then through the test of spatial correlation,establishes a spatial econometric model to analyze the influencing factors.The results show that:there is a significant spatial autocorrelation in the tourism economy of 16 cities in Anhui Province,in which the coefficients of per capita GDP,total number of tourists,the proportion of tertiary industry representing the level of economic development,and foreign direct investment representing the degree of opening to the outside world are positive,that is,there is a positive spatial spillover effect,while the coefficients of technological progress are positive The coefficient of research and experimental development(R&D)expenditure is negative,that is,there is a negative spatial spillover effect,and they all pass the significance test.However,tourism infrastructure construction and transportation convenience have no obvious effect on tourism economic development.This shows that not all the factors that affect the development of tourism economy are promoting,but also restraining.Finally,according to the research results,it gives reasonable suggestions to promote the economic development of regional tourism in Anhui Province.