融合情报思维的科技发展态势感知模式研究

Examining the Situation Awareness Model for Science and Technology under Intelligence Thinking

全球科技竞争对科技情报支持的有效性和时效性提出了更高要求,建立科技发展态势情报感知模式是情报工作服务科技安全与发展的重要方式。本研究通过辨析情报流程中的基本概念明确目标驱动、数据驱动和任务驱动三者间的相互关系和适用情景,融合三种驱动力量提出科技发展态势情报感知流程。从科技发展态势的特征出发引入情报思维,明确系统性思维、竞争性思维、全源性思维和批判性思维这四个维度在情报感知中的作用,提出科技发展态势情报感知的具体要求。融合情报思维构建包含要素感知层、态势理解层、态势预测层和情报产品层的科技发展态势分析框架,以期为科技发展态势情报感知实践提供有效指导,提升情报支持决策的能力。

Global competition in science and technology has increased the demand for effectiveness and currency in intelligence support.Establishing the situation awareness model could be an effective way for intelligence work to provide services for the development and security of science and technology.In this study,we first clarified the interrelationship and applicable scenarios of target-driven,data-driven,and task-driven intelligence.The process of intelligence awareness for science and technology was proposed by integrating the three driving forces.Subsequently,intelligence thinking was introduced for the demand of situation awareness in science and technology.We further clarified the requirement of system thinking,competitive thinking,all-sources thinking,and critical thinking in the intelligence process.Thereafter,the framework of intelligence awareness for science and technology—including the layer of situation awareness,situation understanding,situation prediction,and intelligence delivery—was constructed.The model proposed in this study could guide the realization of intelligence awareness and enhance the ability to support decision-making.