长三角城市群贸易开放对产业结构变迁的影响

Impact of Trade Openness in the Yangtze River Delta City Cluster on Industrial Structural Transformation

应用面板向量自回归模型,实证分析了长三角城市群贸易开放对产业结构合理化和产业结构高级化的影响效应。研究结果表明:长三角城市群贸易开放对产业结构合理化和产业结构高级化具有显著的正向影响;长三角城市群贸易开放是产业结构合理化和产业结构高级化的格兰杰原因。认为长三角城市群应推动制造业出口贸易转型升级、提升服务业全球竞争优势、积极扩大服务业产品的进口规模及优化进口产品结构,以促进贸易开放与产业结构协同发展。

Applying the panel vector autoregression model,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of the trade openness in the Yangtze River Delta city cluster on the rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure.The research shows that trade openness has a significant positive effect on the rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure,and is the Granger cause.It believes that the Yangtze River Delta city cluster should promote the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry export trade,enhance the global competitiveness of the service industry,actively expand the scale of imported service products,and optimize the structure of imported products,in order to promote the coordinated development of trade openness and industrial structure.