长三角地区交通运输碳排放影响因素研究

Study on Influencing Factors of Transportation Carbon Emissions in Yangtze River Delta Region

习近平主席在十四五规划纲要中明确提出双碳目标,目前控制碳排放量是重中之重。交通运输目前是碳排放量较为靠前的行业,而长三角地区是中国经济发展最活跃,科技创新力最强的地区之一。因此,文中重点讨论了长三角地区交通运输二氧化碳排放的影响因素,并运用Kaya恒等式和LMDI指数分解模型对其进行详细的分析和计算,更清楚地理解影响碳排放的因素,从而更好地为节能减排做铺垫,并提出针对性的建议,对长三角地区的发展有重要意义。文中的主要研究结论是:经济快速发展是长三角地区碳排放量增加的最主要因素,因此,针对上述研究结果提出相关的建议。

Carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals are clearly proposed by President Xi Jinping in the Outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan.Accordingly,controlling carbon emissions is a top priority,and the transportation became one of industries with topr-anking carbon emissions.At the same time,the Yangtze River Delta is one of the regions with the most active economic development and the strongest technology innovation ability in China.Therefore,this paper focuses on the carbon dioxide emissions of the transportation in Yangtze River Delta region,and uses the Kaya constant equation and LMDI index decomposition model to analyze and calculate the influencing factors of transportation carbon emissions in Yangtze River Delta region in detail,so that the factors affecting carbon emissions can be understood more clearly,which can better pave the way for energy conservation and emission reduction,and some recommendations on transportation in Yangtze River Delta region are put forward,which is of great significance to the development of the Yangtze River Delta.The main conclusion of this paper is that the fast economic development is the most important factor affecting the carbon emissions in Yangtze River Delta region,so relevant policy recommendations are proposed for the above findings.