预测模型系统评价的制作方法与步骤

Methods and processes for producing a systematic review of predictive model studies

随着精准医疗的兴起,预测模型研究不断增多,研究和报告质量参差不齐,制约了其在临床的推广与应用。预测模型系统评价通过汇总和评价预测模型在不同环境和人群中的预测性能,从而促进预测模型研究证据在临床实践中应用。近年虽已有不少关于预测模型的系统评价,但这些系统评价制作方法仍不规范,质量差异较大。本文结合国内外方法学的最新进展,对预测模型系统评价的制作方法与步骤进行归纳和总结,以期为国内学者制作预测模型系统评价提供参考。

As precision medicine continues to gain momentum,the number of predictive model studies is increasing.However,the quality of the methodology and reporting varies greatly,which limits the promotion and application of these models in clinical practice.Systematic reviews of prediction models draw conclusions by summarizing and evaluating the performance of such models in different settings and populations,thus promoting their application in practice.Although the number of systematic reviews of predictive model studies has increased in recent years,the methods used are still not standardized and the quality varies greatly.In this paper,we combine the latest advances in methodologies both domestically and abroad,and summarize the production methods and processes of a systematic review of prediction models.The aim of this study is to provide references for domestic scholars to produce systematic reviews of prediction models.