粮食安全背景下贵州省粮食生产影响因素分析

Analysis on influencing factors of grain production in Guizhou Province under the background of grain security

粮食是人民群众最基本的生活资料,保障粮食安全是满足民众获得感、幸福感、安全感的前提。贵州作为典型的喀斯特山区省份,生态环境脆弱,粮食生产问题不可忽视。文章结合2010—2020年贵州省粮食总产量进行统计分析,归纳出影响粮食生产的因素,进一步运用多元线性回归模型对贵州省粮食生产影响因素进行全面分析,分析结果表明,粮食作物播种面积、有效灌溉面积和农业生产资料价格指数对贵州粮食总产量存在显著影响,并基于此提出了推动贵州省粮食生产进一步发展的对策和建议。

Grain is the most fundamental necessity of people,and ensuring food security is a prerequisite for satisfying people's sense of gain,happiness,and security.Guizhou,as a typical karst mountainous province,has a fragile ecological environment and the problem of grain production cannot be ignored.This article combined statistical analysis of Guizhou's total grain production from 2010 to 2020,summed up the factors affecting grain production,and further used the multiple linear regression model to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the factors affecting grain production in Guizhou Province.The analysis results showed that the sown area of grain crops,the effective irrigated area,and the price index of agricultural means of production have significant effects on the total grain production in Guizhou.Based on this,the paper put forward some countermeasures and suggestions to promote the further development of grain production in Guizhou Province.