全球减煤踩“刹车”和对保障我国能源安全的思考

Setback of global coal phase down and consideration for ensuring China's energy security

2015年《巴黎协定》通过后,全球减煤进程加快。但是,2021年全球煤炭产量、消费量均强劲反弹。特别是俄乌冲突发生后,天然气短缺且价格高昂,极端天气带来电力需求增加,以及可再生能源不稳定等原因引发能源危机,全球不少国家,尤其是部分欧美国家重新转向燃煤发电,减煤进程踩“刹车”。但全球发展清洁能源的步伐仍在加快,能源低碳转型的大趋势未变,将推动塑造新的国际秩序。加快煤炭减量步伐是我国既定的政策方向,需要坚持底线思维,掌握好节奏和力度。同时,构建基于大数据和国土空间基础信息平台的能源资源安全监测预警系统,对保障我国能源安全具有重要意义。

After the adoption of the Paris Agreement in 2015,the process of global coal phase down accelerated.However,global coal production and consumption rebounded strongly in 2021.In particular,after the Russia-Ukraine conflict,the energy crisis was triggered by the shortage and high price of natural gas,the increase of electricity demand caused by extreme weather,and the insufficient output of renewable energy.Many countries in the world,especially some European and American countries,turned to coal-fired power generation again,and the process of global coal phase down was stepped on the"brake".However,the development of clean energy is still accelerating,and the general trend of low-carbon energy transformation remains unchanged,which will promote the shaping of a new international order.Accelerating the pace of coal phase-down is the established policy of China,which requires adhering to bottom line thinking,mastering the rhythm and intensity of coal reduction.At the same time,building an energy and resources security monitoring and early warning system based on big data and national land space basic information platform is of significance for ensuring China's energy security.