以城市群碳减排促人与自然和谐共生的现代化

Promote Modernization of Harmonious Coexistence between Humans and Nature by Reducing Carbon Emissions in Urban Agglomerations

二氧化碳是影响人与自然和谐共生的核心变量,城市群是我国二氧化碳排放的主体区域,也是经济和技术实力较强的区域,城市群碳减排是人与自然和谐共生的现代化的必然选择。面对艰巨的碳减排任务,城市群碳减排需要把握重点城市群和重点产业。基于分析全国各个城市群是否碳达峰、碳排放量的多少、碳减排动力和能力的强弱,从而选取出长三角、山东半岛、长江中游、呼包鄂榆、粤闽浙沿海、珠三角等六个城市群是2030年前碳减排的重点城市群。各城市群的碳排放具有显著的产业集中性,聚类分析发现电力、蒸汽和热水的生产与供应业等10个产业构成碳排放的主体,是碳减排的重点产业。推动城市群碳减排,还需要完善市场机制和发挥政府作用,结合高排放城市群和高排放产业的特点制定减排战略,在绿色转型中促进人与自然和谐共生。

Carbon dioxide is a core variable that affects the harmonious coexistence of humans and nature.Urban agglomerations are the main areas of carbon dioxide emissions in China,as well as regions with strong economic and technological strength.Carbon emissions reduction in urban agglomerations is an inevitable choice for the modernization of harmonious coexistence between humans and nature.In the face of arduous tasks,carbon emission reduction in urban agglomerations needs to grasp key urban agglomerations and key industries.Based on whether the urban agglomeration has reached carbon peak,carbon emissions,carbon emission reduction power and capacity,six urban agglomerations,including the Yangtze River Delta,Shandong Peninsula,the middle reaches of the Yangtze River,Hohhot-Baotou-Ordos-Yulin,Guangdong-Fujian-Zhejiang coastal areas,and the Pearl River Delta,are the key urban agglomerations for carbon emission reduction before 2030.Cluster analysis showed that 10 industries,including production and supply of electricity,steam and hot water,constituted the main body of carbon emissions and were key industries for carbon emission reduction.To promote carbon emission reduction in urban agglomerations,it is also necessary to improve the market mechanism and the role of the government,combine the characteristics of high-emission urban agglomerations and high-emission industries,develop strategies of carbon emissions reduction,and promote harmonious coexistence between humans and nature in the green transition.