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基于Z-number和DEMATEL的报废汽车回收产业发展影响因素研究

Research on Influencing Factors of End-of-life Vehicle Recycling Industry Based on Z-number and DEMATEL
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摘要 【目的/意义】科学识别和分析报废汽车回收产业发展的影响因素,对于优化机制推动产业高质量发展具有重要的意义。【设计/方法】首先,通过文献分析从政府、消费者、企业和行业组织的不同视角确定影响报废汽车回收产业发展的15个因素。其次,邀请多位专家评估影响因素之间的直接关系,引入Z-number语言描述专家评价信息的复杂不确定性,采用最大共识法计算专家权重;基于DEMATEL(决策试验与评估实验室)方法计算得到影响因素的中心度和因果度,据此进行影响因素分类和重要性分析。【结论/发现】通过算例验证了所提方法的可行性与合理性,并根据研究结果提出促进报废汽车回收产业发展的对策与措施。 [Purpose/Significance]Identifying and analyzing the influencing factors of the development of end-of-life vehicles recycling industry are of great significance to optimize the mechanism and promote the rapid development of recycling industry.[Design/Methodology]Firstly,through literature analysis,15 factors affecting the development of end-of-life vehicles recycling industry are determined from the different perspectives of government,consumers,enterprises and industry organizations.Secondly,several experts are invited to evaluate the direct relationship between the influencing factors.Z-number is introduced to describe the complex uncertainty of evaluation information,and the maximum consensus method is used to calculate the weight of experts.The centrality and causality of influencing factors are calculated based on DEMATEL(Decision making trial and evaluation laboratory),and then the causality classification and importance analysis of influencing factors are carried out.[Conclusions/Findings]Finally,an example is given to verify the feasibility and rationality of the proposed method,and the countermeasures to promote the development of end-of-life vehicles recycling industry are put forward according to the results.
作者 陈兆芳 郑祥盘 黄文翰 CHEN Zhao-fang;ZHENG Xiang-pan;HUANG Wen-han(Fujian University of Technology,Fuzhou 350118 China;Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350108 China;Minjiang University,Fuzhou 350108 China;Fujian Special Equipment Inspection and Research Institute,Fuzhou 350008 China;Fuzhou Snowman Company,Limited Fuzhou 350200 China)
出处 《电子科技大学学报(社科版)》 2023年第3期50-58,共9页 Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(Social Sciences Edition)
基金 福建省自然科学基金(N0.2020J05186) 福建省社会科学规划项目(NO.FJ2021B152)。
关键词 Z-number DEMATEL 共识指数 影响因素 Z-number DEMATEL consensus index influencing factor
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