促进还是抑制:农民合作社对农村集体经济影响的计量分析

Inhibiting or Promoting:An Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Farmers’Cooperatives on Rural Collective Economy

分析农民合作社对农村集体经济的影响机理,利用民政部农村社会治理数据库村级调查数据,使用倾向得分匹配(PSM)、广义倾向得分匹配(GPSM)等方法分析合作社对农村集体经济的影响。结果显示:村内有合作社会对农村集体经济产生显著的负向作用,不过随着农户入社比率的增加,合作社对集体经济呈现出先抑制后促进的影响。机制检验发现,发展合作社会因增加村行政办公经费支出、挤占村干部精力、减少村集体经济组织财务状况公开次数、损害集体经济组织的公开透明性而抑制集体经济发展。因此,实现农民合作社与农村集体经济的互补性发展,需要多措并举,加强政策支持引导。

This paper first theoretically analyzed the impact mechanism of farmers’cooperatives on rural collective economy,and then empirically analyzed the impact of farmers’cooperatives on rural collective economy with village-level survey data from the rural social governance database of the Ministry of Civil Affairs by using propensity score matching(PSM),and generalized propensity score matching(GPSM).The results showed that,the existence of cooperative in villages had a significant negative effect on the rural collective economy.However,as the proportion of farmers joining cooperatives increases,the impact of cooperatives on the rural collective economy showed a“U-shaped”relationship of suppression followed by promotion.The mechanism tests found that,before the proportion of peasant households joining cooperatives reached a certain proportion,the existence of cooperative in villages and the proportion of peasant households joining cooperatives inhibit collective economic development by increasing the expenditure of village administrative office expenses,crowding out the energy of village cadres,reducing the number of disclosures of the financial status of village collective economic organizations,and undermining the openness and transparency of rural collective economic organizations.To realize the complementary development of farmers’cooperatives and the rural collective economy,there is still a lot of work to be done.