产出不确定条件下农产品供应链内部融资研究

Internal Financing of Agricultural Product Supply Chain Under the Condition of Output Uncertainty

农产品供应链的研究较少考虑农户资金不足,供应链内部融资手段实现产销均衡的情况.文章针对二级农产品供应链产出不确定,构建核心企业为资金约束农户提供内部融资的模型,通过求解最优化的农产品订购量、投产量并进行算例分析,提出内部融资服务规则及最优生产运作策略.结果表明:在不考虑农户缺货成本和残值收益情况下,存在资金约束的农户倾向投入少于订购量的投产量来减少成本投入和还款金额,实现自己期望收益最优;资金约束条件下采取分散决策,供应链成员存在最优的投产量和订购量使得自身期望收益实现最优;资金约束条件下,文章设计的融资模式使得销售商的期望收益随着农户自有资金的增加而减少.

tThe research on the supply chain of agricultural products seldom considers the shortage of farmers'funds and the internal financing of the supply chain to achieve the balance of production and sales.In view of the uncertainty of the output of the secondary agricultural product supply chain,this paper builds a model in which core enterprises provide internal financing for farmers with financial constraints.Production operation strategy.The results show that:Without considering the outof-stock cost and residual value income of farmers,farmers with capital constraints tend to invest less than the amount ordered to reduce cost input and repayment amount,and achieve the optimal expected return;capital constraints under decentralized decision-making,the members of the supply chain have the optimal output and order quantity to optimize their expected returns;under the condition of capital constraints,the financing model designed in this paper makes the seller's expected income decrease with the increase of farmers'own funds.