制造业就业技能结构变化对农村地区青少年教育选择的影响研究

The Influence of Employment Skill Structure in Manufacturing Industry on the Teenagers’Educational Choices in Rural Areas

农村地区青少年教育问题既关系到发展低收入阶层群体脱贫致富的自生能力,也关系到实现社会主义共同富裕。本文利用中国家庭健康与营养调查(CHNS)等微观调查数据分析制造业就业技能结构变化对农村地区青少年教育选择行为的影响。结果表明,地区不同技能就业份额变化将对农村地区青少年教育选择行为产生差异性的影响。高技能就业份额增大,则会鼓励促进农村地区青少年接受高中以及高等教育;低技能和中等技能就业份额增大,则不利于其接受高层次教育。进一步研究发现,不同技能就业份额对农村地区青少年教育选择的影响主要是通过收入效应、机会成本效应和预期收益效应发挥作用。并且,对不同年龄段、家庭农业收入占比有差异的个体来说,不同技能就业份额也会产生异质性的影响。

Teenagers’education in rural areas is not only related to poverty reduction among low-income groups,but also related to the realization of common prosperity.we analyze the impact of changes in employment skill structure of manufacturing industry on the education attainment of Teenagers in rural areas,by exploiting micro-level survey data such as the China Household Health and Nutrition Survey(CHNS).The results show that the change of employment share of different skills influence education attainment heterogeneously.The increase of high-skilled labor employment will improve the access to high school and college education for teenagers in rural areas.The increase of low-skilled and medium-skilled labor employment is not conducive to their access to high-level education.Further more,results shows that the impact on the education attainment of young people in rural areas mainly through income effect,opportunity cost effect and expected return effect.Moreover,individuals with different age groups and different proportion of household agricultural income will also be affected by different skill employment shares.