双碳目标下农户组合能源消费选择研究:基于生计资本

Research on Combined Energy Consumption Choices of Farmers under Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals:Based on Livelihood Capital

农村能源可持续建设是优化农村现有能耗结构、实施联合空气污染防治、实现碳减排目标的重要组成部分。基于课题组入户调查数据,采用Probit回归分析法与Tobit回归模型分析农户生计资本对其组合能源消费选择的影响。结果表明:人力资本显著促进商品能源和清洁能源的消费量;自然资本与非商品能源和常规能源的消费量呈显著正相关,与新能源和清洁能源的消费量则相反;物质资本与商品能源的消费量呈显著正相关,与常规能源的消费量则相反。生计资本对农户组合能源消费选择有显著影响,农户人力资本的优化、物质资本及金融资本的积累使得农户更易形成清洁低碳的组合能源消费习惯。合理引导生计资本转型对农村生活能源消费向清洁化、低碳化转型具有重要意义。应结合当前农村生计状况,通过优化生计资本存量提高农村生活用能保障水平,在加大农村节能意识宣传的同时健全相关配套设施,提高农户环保意愿,以加快农村能源消费的绿色低碳进程。

The sustainable construction of rural energy structure is an important part of optimizing the existing energy consumption structure in rural areas,implementing joint air pollution prevention and control,and achieving carbon emission reduction goals.Using a sample of 1113 rural households from the 2018"Rural Energy,Population Transfer and Welfare"survey,Probit regression analysis and Tobit regression models were used to analyze the impact of farm households′livelihood capital on their consumption choices of combined energy.The results show that(1)The human capital significantly promotes the consumption of commodity energy and clean energy.(2)The natural capital is significantly and positively correlated with the consumption of non-commodity energy and conventional energy,and the opposite with the consumption of new energy and clean energy.(3)The physical capital is significantly and positively correlated with the consumption of commodity energy,and the opposite with the consumption of conventional energy.The findings reveal that livelihood capital has a significant impact on the choice of combined energy consumption of farmers,and the optimization of farmers′human capital and the accumulation of physical and financial capital make it easier for farmers to form cleaner and lower carbon combined energy consumption habits.This paper proposes to optimize the stock of livelihood funds and raise awareness of energy conservation in rural areas while improving related supporting facilities and increasing farmers′willingness to protect the environment,so as to promote the prcesses of green and low carbon energy consumption in rural areas.