安全发展视角下城市应急管理能力评估

Evaluation of urban emergency management capabilities from perspective of safe development

为合理有效地评估城市应急管理能力,推进现代化城市的建设,基于安全发展视角,从城市安全源头治理能力、城市安全风险防控能力、城市安全监督管理能力、城市安全保障能力、城市安全应急救援能力及城市安全应急恢复能力6个方面,构建城市应急管理能力评估体系;为有效减少权重计算主观性因素,采用G1法结合熵权法的组合赋权法确定指标权重值;为加强评价工作的科学性、准确性,运用云模型、物元可拓模型构建综合评价模型,以A市为例开展应用,验证该模型的科学性和有效性。结果表明:该指标体系能全面准确反映城市应急管理能力现状,综合评价模型能够准确科学评估城市应急管理能力,为政府应急管理工作提供决策依据。

To reasonably and effectively evaluate urban emergency management capability and promote the construction of modern cities,an urban emergency management capacity evaluation system was constructed from six aspects:urban safety source governance capabilities,urban safety risk prevention and control capabilities,urban safety supervision and management capabilities,urban safety assurance capabilities,urban safety emergency rescue capabilities,and urban safety emergency recovery capabilities.The G1 method combined with the entropy weight method was used to calculate the combined weight to effectively reduce the subjective factors of weight calculation.The cloud model and the material-element extensibility model were used to construct a comprehensive evaluation model to strengthen the scientificity and accuracy of the evaluation work.Then a city was taken as an example to conduct application research to verify the scientificity and effectiveness of the model.The results show that the index system can comprehensively and accurately reflect the current situation of urban emergency management capacity,and the comprehensive evaluation model can accurately and scientifically evaluate urban emergency management capacity,which can provide decision-making basis for government emergency management.